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流行病与卫生统计学

沈明望

发布时间:2018-02-25 15:51:20  浏览次数: 次  来源:本站

  

沈明望,男,西安交通大学医学部 公共卫生学院 流行病与卫生统计学系,副教授/博士生导师

电话:029-82655108

邮箱:mingwangshen521@xjtu.edu.cn

地址:陕西省西安市雁塔区雁塔西路76号,710061


教育背景:

2013.09-2017.12 西安交通大学 数学与统计学院 应用数学 博士;导师:肖燕妮

2011.09-2013.07  西安交通大学 数学与统计学院 应用数学 硕博连读(硕士阶段);导师:肖燕妮

2007.09-2011.07 河南师范大学 数学与信息科学学院 信息与计算科学 学士


出国经历:

2015.08-2017.08 美国德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校 生物统计系 访问学者; 导师:Lauren Ancel Meyers


工作经历:

2018.01-2019.10 西安交通大学医学部 公共卫生学院 流行病与卫生统计学系 助理研究员/专职科研博士后;导师:庄贵华

2019.11-2022.08 西安交通大学医学部 公共卫生学院 流行病与卫生统计学系 准聘副教授

2022.09-至今 西安交通大学医学部 公共卫生学院 流行病与卫生统计学系 长聘副教授/博士生导师


研究领域:

理论流行病学、生物数学、人工智能在医学中的应用等交叉学科研究,具体包括艾滋病、肝炎、流感、麻疹、新冠等传染病以及癌症等慢性病的数学建模研究和卫生经济学评价。目前研究方向包括(不限于):

1. 传染病动力学建模;

2. 艾滋病暴露前预防、基因治疗的数学建模和卫生经济学评价;

3. 人工智能相关医疗器械产品的卫生经济学评价;

4. 基因筛查的卫生经济学评价。


获奖:

2016.04 第三届“徐宗本应用数学论文奖”一等奖

2021.04 西安交通大学第七届“十大学术新人”

2021.06 陕西省高校科协青年人才托举计划

2023.05 西安交通大学“十大青年岗位能手”


社会兼职:

1. 2019.07-至今 陕西省保健协会 专业委员会 委员

2. 2020.11-至今 中国抗癌协会 癌症筛查与早诊早治专业委员会 第一届青年委员

3. 2020.11-至今 中国抗癌协会 癌症筛查与早诊早治专业委员会 卫生经济学评价学组委员

4. 2022.06-至今 中国抗癌协会 第九届肿瘤流行病学专业委员会 委员

5. 2022.07-至今 中国疫苗行业协会 疫苗经济学专业委员会 委员

6. 2022.09-至今 中国医药生物技术协会 卫生技术评估专业委员会 委员

7. 2024.02-至今 BMC Medicine期刊编委


承担科研项目:

1. 国家自然科学基金面上项目,基于新型防治措施的HIV跨尺度模型研究及数据分析,项目编号121713872022-2025年,51万元,在研,主持。

2. 科技部国家重点研发计划,“多癌联筛早诊新体系的建立和全国推广应用新策略的评价”子课题“多癌联筛新预测模型的建立及欠发达地区的简化应用”子任务,项目编号2022YFC25051002023-2025年,75万元,在研,主持。

3. 国家自然科学基金青年基金项目,控制耐药型HIV产生及传播的多水平耦合模型研究,项目编号118014352019-2021年,25万元,已结题,主持。

4. 中国博士后科学基金新冠肺炎疫情防控专项特别资助,新型冠状病毒肺炎传播的时空计量建模与防控措施的卫生经济学评价,项目编号2020T130095ZX2020-2023年,18万元,已结题,主持。

5. 中国博士后科学基金面上项目(一等资助),流感病毒在个体内演化和个体间传播的数学模型研究,项目编号2018M6311342018-2023年,8万元,已结题,主持。

6. 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(交叉类),胃癌内镜筛查策略的动力学模型研究和成本效果分析,项目编号xjh0120190552019-2021年,15万元,已结题,主持。

7. 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(应急类),基于传播动力学模型的新型冠状病毒肺炎防控策略研究和卫生经济学评价,项目编号xzy0320200262020-2021年,10万元,已结题,主持。

8. 陕西省自然科学基础研究计划一般项目(青年),陕西省艾滋病暴露前药物预防的成本效果分析,项目编号2019JQ-1872019-2021年,3万元,已结题,主持。

9. 陕西省高校科协青年人才托举计划项目,基于动力学模型评估新冠疫苗接种对变异毒株传播的影响及成本效果,项目编号202103072022-2023年,1万元,已结题,主持。

10. 盖茨基金会,新冠流行病学建模和风险评估,项目编号202005362020-2022年,10万美元,已结题,参与。

11. 中国疾病预防控制中心性病艾滋病预防控制中心,HIV暴露前预防用药的卫生经济学效果评价及实现HIV扩大检测的卫生资源最优方案模型研究,项目编号202003442020-2021年,30.6万元,已结题,参与。

12. 国家自然科学基金面上项目,我国乙肝病毒演化多样性的系统动力学模型与整合分析方法研究,项目编号119713752020-2023年,52万元,已结题,参与。

13. 国家自然科学基金青年基金项目,个体异质性对艾滋病疫情传播与控制的影响研究,项目编号117014422018-2020年,25万元,已结题,参与。

14. 国家自然科学基金青年基金项目,组织-细胞多尺度耦合的实体肿瘤生长数学建模与算法研究,项目编号116014162017-2019年,18万元,已结题,参与。

15. 国家自然科学基金面上项目Filippov系统在传染病动态控制中的应用研究,项目编号115712732016-2019年,50万元,已结题,参与。


媒体报道:

2024年

1.公共卫生学院科研人员在中国艾滋病检测资源优化配置研究中取得进展,2024.03.07. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/FtTomdmOfu1Gm8PRRqutIQ (西安交通大学公共卫生学院-微信公众号)

2. 第五位艾滋病治愈者出现,为未来艾滋病治疗提供启示,2024.02.29. https://m.peopledailyhealth.com/articleDetailShare?articleId=7ac7a4341bf848f1b7274d4d22d40368 (人民日报健康客户端)

3. 中澳传染病联合研究中心沈明望受邀担任BMC Medicine期刊编委,2024.02.05. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/zujb3zpDwGyxaZnBjRRKUQ (中澳传染病联合研究中心-微信公众号)

2023年

4. 教师专访|沈明望:以研促教,教研相长,2023.10.31. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/V7gwJ6E1GZHkx7MX1McsTQ (西安交通大学公共卫生学院-微信公众号)

5.中断治疗和依从性降低是艾滋病耐药传播的重要影响因素,2023.10.21. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/gmN0K6hEbv2eRXYVZiRZig (中国疾控艾防中心-微信公众号)

6. 公共卫生学院科研人员在《柳叶刀传染病》杂志发表评论文章,2023.09.13. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/ynHoQxwD4Kji4QHgft6ThA (西安交通大学公共卫生学院-微信公众号)

7. 公共卫生学院科研人员在探索消除中国慢性乙肝数学模型研究中取得进展,2023.08.30. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/J_Ti3vl0DSubY8tkDH9WEg (西安交通大学公共卫生学院-微信公众号)

8. 健康科学与医学|爱思唯尔(Elsevier)中国金色开放获取高下载论文学者 (2023年第一季度),2023.07.30. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/WSXoWMes4Dt8ledEsTQJsw (爱思唯尔Elsevier

9. 全球130万艾滋新发,ART治疗仍是最有效方式之一,2023.07.15. https://m.peopledailyhealth.com/articleDetailShare?articleId=fd9df8e313b0434cb621d2dad0d2a2f8 (人民日报健康客户端)

10.【科技自立自强】公共卫生学院科研团队在治疗中断和依从性降低对艾滋病耐药传播影响研究方面取得系列进展,2023.06.15. http://news.xjtu.edu.cn/info/1004/197596.htm (交大新闻网首页-科学研究)

11. 五四荣誉表彰 | 如是榜样,烛照未来——五四系列人物专访(一)2023.06.12. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/Yt1_hQBD_Smap8oyerrOoQ (西安交通大学公共卫生学院-微信公众号)

12. 新鲜出炉!为青年岗位能手、青年文明号点赞!2023.04.23. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/kpgMyGJHjh1U-Oi_phKPTw (西安交通大学团委-微信公众号)

13. 喝速溶咖啡,或会缩短端粒长度,2023.03.20. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/G24-yE8S5FFMnL98b1XS1Q  (丁香学术-微信公众号)

14. 公共卫生学院科研人员在人工智能辅助筛查宫颈癌的卫生经济学评价研究中取得进展,2023.03.04. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/G4xit0sZve4ShsyRlZnL0Q (西安交通大学公共卫生学院-微信公众号)

15. 筑梦医者仁心,勇担社会使命 | 陕西城乡居民新冠感染情况基线调查顺利完成,2023.01.20. http://sph.xjtu.edu.cn/info/1065/4922.htm (西安交通大学公共卫生学院-学院主页)

16. “筑梦医心 护佑三农”专项部分召开陕西城乡居民新冠感染调查阶段工作推进会,2023.01.20. http://sph.xjtu.edu.cn/info/1065/4921.htm(西安交通大学公共卫生学院-学院主页)

17. 公共卫生学院研究人员在新冠疫苗第二针加强针成本效果研究方面取得新进展,2023.01.01. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/_IKoKaM6jN_VDHkEgiceKg(西安交通大学公共卫生学院-微信公众号)

2022年

18. 学习贯彻党的二十大精神 | 逆行践初心,抗疫显担当——抗疫先锋人物专访(四),2022.10.28. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/MX6UWTOg2Snc7VXgADMtKw(西安交通大学公共卫生学院-微信公众号)

19. 西安交通大学科研人员在《柳叶刀-区域健康(西太平洋)》杂志发表研究成果,2022.05.06. https://www.eol.cn/shaanxi/shxgd/202205/t20220506_2223798.shtml (中国教育在线-陕西高等教育)

20. 公共卫生学院科研人员在《柳叶刀传染病》杂志发表评论文章,2022.04.13. http://sph.xjtu.edu.cn/info/1065/4678.htm(西安交通大学公共卫生学院-学院主页)

21. 【同心抗疫】公共卫生学院为抗疫贡献专业力量,2022.01.12. http://news.xjtu.edu.cn/info/1219/178004.htm (交大新闻网首页-主页新闻)

2021年

22. 再次!西安交大专家团队支援西安市新冠疫情防控指挥部,2021.12.20. http://sph.xjtu.edu.cn/info/1065/4589.htm (西安交通大学公共卫生学院-学院主页)

23. 西交校园之声·星火|在数学、医学交叉研究中助力健康中国建设,2021.12.16. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/7QFb5o58uDgewSD6YvwadQ (西交校园之声-微信公众号)

24. 致力数学、医学交叉!这名交大“90后”学术新人在路上,2021.10.25. http://news.cyol.com/gb/articles/2021-10/25/content_vyaaOSlg7.html (中国青年报数字报-中青在线)

25. 【西迁新传人】沈明望:在数学、医学交叉研究中助力健康中国建设,2021.08.21. http://news.xjtu.edu.cn/info/1033/170229.htm (交大新闻网首页-主页新闻)

26. 公共卫生学院沈明望入选西安交通大学第七届“十大学术新人”,2021.04.19. http://sph.xjtu.edu.cn/info/1065/4198.htm (西安交通大学公共卫生学院-学院主页)

27.西安交通大学第七届“十大学术新人”评选揭晓,2021.04.16. http://dwxcb.xjtu.edu.cn/info/1002/14690.htm (交大新闻网首页-主页新闻)

2020年

28. Will an effective COVID-19 vaccine return life to normal in the US?2020.11.04. https://www.news-medical.net/news/20201104/Will-an-effective-COVID-19-vaccine-return-life-to-normal-in-the-US.aspx (News Medical Life Sciences)

29. 来自西安市新冠肺炎疫情防控指挥部的感谢信,2020.03.14. http://dwxcb.xjtu.edu.cn/info/1002/12587.htm (交大新闻网首页-主页新闻)

30. 【思源时评】科学利剑斩疫魔,2020.02.16. http://dwxcb.xjtu.edu.cn/info/1002/12383.htm (交大新闻网首页-主页新闻)

31. 【众志成城克时艰】公卫人:“公”而忘私,舍己“卫”人,2020.02.10. http://news.xjtu.edu.cn/info/1033/7617.htm (交大新闻网首页-主页新闻)

32. 【众志成城克时艰】同心抗疫,西安交大科研人员在行动,2020.02.06. http://dwxcb.xjtu.edu.cn/info/1002/12305.htm (交大新闻网首页-主页新闻)

33. 【众志成城克时艰】公共卫生学院支援陕西省、西安市新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情防控工作,2020.02.06. http://www.med.xjtu.edu.cn/info/1246/11149.htm (西安交通大学公共卫生学院-学院主页)

34. 【众志成城克时坚】医学部专家组 支援西安市新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情防控工作,2020.02.01. http://dwxcb.xjtu.edu.cn/info/1002/12262.htm 交大新闻网首页-主页新闻)

35. 医学部专家组支援西安市新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎疫情防控工作,2020.01.31. http://www.med.xjtu.edu.cn/info/1014/11114.htm (西安交通大学公共卫生学院-学院主页)

36. 新病毒在中国或致8042例感染,爆发峰值预计2月中上旬 | 最新研究大汇总(截止2615:00),2020.01.26. https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/5-8nZkI9I0xscOj5Omw6CA (科学网-微信公众号)

团队成员:

2021级硕士:何诗浩

2021级医学+公共卫生硕士:胡佳辉

2022级硕士:林斯琦,秦蓉,王慧慧,谢晓玉,崔宵一

2023级博士:薛志强

2023级硕士:王乾宇(学硕,保研),梁洁,张婷

已毕业学生:

蒋华林(博士,202312月)

访问学生:

1.2021.05-2021.09 金新叶(南京医科大学)

2.2023.01-2023.07 Zhe Cao(丹麦,Aarhus University

3.2023.06-2023.08 陈萌卉(宁波诺丁汉大学)

4.2023.12-2024.01 赖苗、周思佳(南京医科大学)

教学课程:

本科课程:《流行病学(预防)》、《流行病学(临床)》、《流行病学(宗濂)》、《药物流行病学》、《预防医学实践》

研究生课程:《现代流行病学》、《医学数据管理与分析》

参编教材:

《医学研究数据管理分析》(西安交通大学出版社,2022


指导本科生:

1.2021.03 指导本科生荣获第32届“腾飞杯”创新创业大赛创新赛道优秀奖。学生:刘俊杰、袁雪涛、刘彤、孟睿洁、蒋晶晶。

2.2021.07 指导本科生荣获2021年“国家级大学生创新训练项目”。学生:刘俊杰、欧宇航、雷江婕、赵轶龙、拓小凤。

3.2022.05指导本科生荣获第33届“腾飞杯”创新创业大赛创新赛道优秀奖。学生:刘俊杰、雷江婕、欧宇航、赵轶龙、拓小凤、孟睿洁、袁雪涛、乔一帆。

4.2022.05 指导本科生荣获第33届“腾飞杯”创新创业大赛创新赛道三等奖。学生:高奕原、赵子璇、朱浩然、邵帅。

5.2022.05指导本科生荣获第33届“腾飞杯”创新创业大赛创新赛道优秀奖。学生:杨欣雨、王童卓、蒋嘉琪、刘俊杰。


参加会议:

1. 2017522日—24日,参加在美国亚特兰大举办的“Models of Infectious Disease Agent Study (MIDAS)”会议,展览并解说以 “Early antiretroviral therapy and potent second-line drugs could decrease the transmission of drug resistance”为主题的海报。

2. 2018623日-25日,参加在北京举办的第六届生物数学国际会议,作分会场报告“The cost-effectiveness of oral HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis and early antiretroviral treatment in the presence of drug resistance among men who have sex with men in San Francisco”。

3. 20181025日-28日,参加在上海举办的第十二届中国卫生技术评估论坛,作分会场报告“中国胃癌筛查策略效应的数学模型研究”。

4. 2018118日-11日,参加在西安举办的生物数学与医学大数据分析研讨会。

5. 20181123日-26日,参加在西安举办的第二届“一带一路”全球健康国际研讨会暨丝绸之路大学联盟2018全球健康论坛。

6. 20181214-15日,参加在广州举办的国际消除病毒性肝炎暨乙肝母婴零传播工程高峰论坛(第二届华南精准医学肝病论坛)。

7. 2019412-14日,参加在西安举办的基于动力学不稳定性理论的健康临界状态评估方法专题研讨会。

8. 2019519-24日,参加在美国佛罗里达州劳德代尔堡举办的第五届“Computational and Mathematical Population Dynamics (CMPD5)”国际会议,作分会场报告“Conflict and accord of optimal treatment strategies for HIV infection within and between hosts”。

9. 2019612-13日,参加在成都举办的十三五项目“HIV耐药传播对艾滋病疫情影响的监测预警技术研究及应用”项目进展推进会,作大会报告“预测艾滋病耐药传播的数学模型研究”。

10. 2019717-20日,参加在昆明举办的第八次全国流行病学学术会议。

11. 2019913-16日,参加在西安举办的第三届“一带一路”全球健康国际研讨会暨丝绸之路大学联盟2019全球健康论坛。

12. 2019928日,参加在西安举办的2019年西安生物数学研讨会。

13. 20191020-1115日,参加在天津医科大学举办的“教育部来华留学英语师资培训中心(医学)”第二十二期培训班(流行病学、医学统计学)。

14. 20191122-24日,参加在北京举办的宫颈癌综合防控研究进展研讨会暨妇幼健康研究会宫颈癌防控研究专业委员会2019 年会议。

15. 20191217日,参加在北京举办的国家重点研发项目“上消化道癌筛查和干预新型技术开发及评价研究”项目进展总结会。

16. 2020919-20日,参加在西安举办的2020儿童肥胖防控—新冠肺炎疫情防控国际研讨会,作大会报告“基于传播动力学模型评估新冠防控措施的效果”。

17. 2020926-27日,参加在西安举办的2020 传染病建模与数据分析国际研讨会。

18. 2020117日,参加复旦大学在线举办的“全球化背景下新冠肺炎疫情的突发与应对:从公众健康到经济社会发展”全国博士后论坛,作分会场报告“基于数学模型评估湖北省封城措施对新冠在公共场所和家庭中传播的影响”。

19. 2020117-8日,参加在西安举办的2020年微分方程及其应用研讨会。

20. 20201114-15日,参加南开大学在线举办的新冠肺炎疫情建模与预测研讨会,作大会报告“不同社交距离和口罩使用下控制新冠疫情所需的疫苗效果和覆盖率研究”。

21. 20201115日,参加在广州举办的2020年中国肿瘤学大会(2020CCO)中国抗癌协会癌症筛查与早诊早治专业委员会学术年会。

22. 20201126-27日,参加在济南举办的“数学与科技”全国博士后学术论坛,作分会场报告“基于传播动力学模型评估控制新冠疫情所需的疫苗效果和覆盖率研究”。

23. 2020128日,参加在北京举办的关于艾滋病防治的十三五科技重大专项子课题项目进展总结会。

24. 2021411-13日,参加在北京举办的国家重点研发项目“上消化道癌筛查和干预新型技术开发及评价研究”课题总结大会。

25. 2021417日,参加在西安举办的2021微分方程及其应用青年学者研讨会。

26. 2021423-25日,参加在兰州举办的第三届生物数学建模与随机分析国际会议,作分会场报告“不同社交距离和口罩使用下控制新冠疫情所需的疫苗效果和覆盖率研究”。

27. 2021514-16日,参加在西安举办的第三届跨学科行为健康会议暨中华预防医学会行为健康分会成立大会,作大会报告“数学模型评估健康行为在中外新冠疫情中的角色”。

28. 2021722-25日,参加在荆州举办的第七届生物数学建模及其动力学分析国际研讨会,作分会场报告“基于人工智能辅助诊断筛查宫颈癌的成本效果分析”。

29. 20211011-13日,参加在海口举办的2021年全国流行病学学术会议暨《中华流行病学杂志》创刊40周年纪念会。

30. 20211022-25日,参加在西安在线举办的2021年生物数学与数据分析前沿研讨会。

31. 2022617-19日,参加在西安在线举办的第四届“一带一路”全球健康国际研讨会暨丝绸之路大学联盟2022全球健康论坛。

32. 2022815-19日,参加在新乡举办的中国数学会生物数学专业委员会第九届学术年会,作分会场报告“新冠疫苗第三针和第四针的成本效果分析”。

33. 20221021-22日,参加在西安在线举办的生物数学与医学大数据分析研讨会。

34. 20221029-30日,参加在西安在线举办的生物数学前沿问题研讨会。

35. 20221117-20日,参加在杭州在线举办的2022中国肿瘤学大会,在肿瘤流行病学分会场作报告“基于人工智能辅助诊断筛查宫颈癌的卫生经济学评价”。

36. 20221225日,参加在北京在线举办的疫苗经济学前沿学术论坛,作报告“基于人工智能辅助诊断筛查宫颈癌的卫生经济学评价”。

37. 2023410-13日,参加在厦门举办的第八届全国艾滋病学术大会,作分论坛报告“基于自体CD4 T细胞和CCR5基因治疗的疗效评价:一项数学模型研究”。

38. 2023428-30日,参加在徐州举办的第四届生物数学建模与随机分析国际会议,作分论坛报告“Cost-effectiveness of oral HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis and expanded antiretroviral therapy in the presence of drug resistance”。

39. 2023616-18日,参加在福州举办的2023年中国药学会药物经济学专业委员会学术年会暨第七届中国药物经济学青年学者论坛。

40. 2023626日-71日,参加在韩国济州岛举办的第八届“China, India, Japan and Korea (CIJK) Conference on Mathematical and Theoretical Biology”国际会议,作分会场报告“Cost-effectiveness of artificial intelligence-assisted liquid-based cytology testing for cervical cancer screening in China”。

41. 2023716日-719日,参加在长春举办的第六届东北地区生物数学研讨会,作大会报告“基于人工智能辅助诊断筛查宫颈癌的卫生经济学评价”。

42. 2023726日-728日,参加在太原举办的“中国生物统计2023年学术年会”。

43. 2023728日,参加中国药学会药物经济学专委会举办的2023年“中国药物经济学青年学者论坛:前沿方法与政策应用”系列线上讲座,作报告“人工智能的卫生经济学评价:以宫颈癌筛查为例”。

44. 2023729日-731日,参加在太原举办的第十届全国非线性生物动力系统会议。

45. 2023922日-924日,参加在西安举办的第五届 ISPOR 中国丝路药物经济学论坛暨第六届药品安全与政策研究国际会议,作分会场报告“人工智能辅助诊断系统的经济学评价”。

46. 20231110-12日,参加在西安举办的中国数学会生物数学专业委员会第九届委员2023年会议。

47. 20231117日-1119日,参加在天津举办的2023中国整合肿瘤学大会中国抗癌协会肿瘤流行病学专业委员会学术年会。

48. 2023121日-3日,参加在上海举办的传染病德隆学者创新交叉论坛:传播动力学、数学建模与疫苗,作大会报告“艾滋病跨尺度动力学建模与卫生资源最优分配”。


发表论文:

已发表SCI论文73篇,其中第一作者19/共同一作4篇,通讯作者13,主要发表在The InnovationBMC MedicineJournal of the International AIDS SocietyLancet Regional Health-Western PacificJournal of Antimicrobial ChemotherapyProceedings of the Royal Society B:Biological SciencesAIDSVaccine等杂志,在Lancet Infectious Diseases发表评论2篇。参与在Lancet Global Health、Diabetes Care、eClinicalMedicine等杂志发表研究。(#表示共同一作,*表示共同通讯)


2024年

1. Mingwang Shen, Hao Lai, Lei Zhang*. Targeted interventions for individuals at high risk is essential for mpox control. Lancet Infectious Diseases. 2024, 24(1):8-9.

2. Shihao He#, Wei Dong#, Christopher K Fairley, Zengbin Li, Yudong Wei, Hao Lai, Rui Li, Pengyi Lu, Mingwang Shen*, Zunyou Wu, Lei Zhang*. Optimizing health resource allocation for improving timely HIV diagnosis in China. Journal of the International AIDS Society. 2024, 27(3): e26221.

3. Rui Li, Pengyi Lu, Christopher K Fairley, José A. Pagán, Wenyi Hu, Qianqian Yang, Guihua Zhuang, Mingwang Shen*, Yan Li*, Lei Zhang*. Cost-effectiveness of the second COVID-19 booster vaccination in the United States. Applied Health Economics and Health Policy. 2024, 22:85-95.

4. Rui Zhao, Christopher K Fairley, Alex R Cook, Nittaya Phanuphak, Shiyi He, Warittha Tieosapjaroen, Eric P F Chow, Tiffany R Phillips, Rayner Kay Jin Tan, Yuhang Wei, Mingwang Shen, Guihua Zhuang*, Jason J Ong*, Lei Zhang*. Optimising HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis and testing strategies in men who have sex with men in Australia, Thailand, and China: a modelling study and cost-effectiveness analysis. Lancet Global Health. 2024, 12:e243-256.

5. Wenyi Hu, Sanil Joseph, Rui Li, Ekaterina Woods, Jason Sun, Mingwang Shen, Catherine Lingxue Jan, Zhuoting Zhu*, Mingguang He*, Lei Zhang*. Population impact and cost-effectiveness of artificial intelligence-based diabetic retinopathy screening in people living with diabetes in Australia: a cost effectiveness analysis. eClinicalMedicine. 2024, 67: 102387.

2023年

6. Mingwang Shen#, Zhuoru Zou#, Heling Bao#, Christopher K Fairley, Karen Canfell, Jason J Ong, Jane Hocking, Eric P.F. Chow, Guihua Zhuang, Linhong Wang*, Lei Zhang*. Cost-effectiveness of artificial intelligence-assisted liquid-based cytology testing for cervical cancer screening in China. Lancet Regional Health-Western Pacific. 2023,34:100726.

7. Mingwang Shen#, Yanni Xiao*, Libin Rong, Guihua Zhuang, Chang Song, Quanbi Zhao, Jinghua Huang, Qiuying Zhu, Shujia Liang, Huanhuan Chen, Jianjun Li, Lingjie Liao, Yiming Shao, Hui Xing#, Yuhua Ruan#, Guanghua Lan#. The impact of attrition on the transmission of HIV and drug resistance. AIDS. 2023, 37(7):1137-1145.

8. Hao Lai, Rui Li, Zengbin Li, Baoming Zhang, Chao Li, Chang Song, Quanbi Zhao, Jinghua Huang, Qiuying Zhu, Shujia Liang, Huanhuan Chen, Jianjun Li, Lingjie Liao, Yiming Shao, Hui Xing, Yuhua Ruan, Guanghua Lan*, Lei Zhang*, Mingwang Shen*. Modelling the impact of treatment adherence on the transmission of HIV drug resistance. Journal of Antimicrobial Chemotherapy. 2023, 78(8):1934-1943.

9. Rui Li, Hanting Liu, Christopher K Fairley, Jason J Ong, Yuming Guo, Pengyi Lu, Zhuoru Zou, Li Xie, Guihua Zhuang, Yan Li*, Mingwang Shen*, Lei Zhang*. mRNA-based COVID-19 booster vaccination is highly effective and cost-effective in Australia. Vaccine. 2023, 41(15):2439-2446.

10. Yudong Wei#, Zengbin Li#, Hao Lai, Pengyi Lu, Baoming Zhang, Lingqin Song, Lei Zhang*, Mingwang Shen*. Instant coffee is negatively associated with telomere length: Finding from observational and Mendelian randomization analyses of UK biobank. Nutrients. 2023, 15(6):1354.

11. Rui Meng, Qiran Wei, Jiting Zhou, Baoming Zhang, Chao Li, Mingwang Shen*. A systematic review of cost-effectiveness analysis of different screening strategies for familial hypercholesterolemia. Journal of Clinical Lipidology. 2023, in press.

12. Rui Li#, Mingwang Shen#, Jason J Ong, Fuqiang Cui, Wenyi Hu, Polin Chan, Zhuoru Zou, Shu Su, Hanting Liu, Lei Zhang*, Wai-Kay Seto*, William CW Wong*. Blueprint to hepatitis B elimination in China: A modelling analysis of clinical strategies. JHEP Reports. 2023, 5(10): 100833.

13. Rui Li, Mingwang Shen, Qianqian Yang, Christopher K Fairley, Zhong-Lin Chai, Robert McIntyre, Jason J Ong, Hanting Liu, Pengyi Lu, Wenyi Hu, Zhuoru Zou, Zengbin Li, Shihao He, Guihua Zhuang*, Lei Zhang*. Global diabetes prevalence in COVID-19 patients and contribution to COVID-19-related severity and mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Diabetes Care. 2023, 46(4):1-8.

14. Jinli Liu, Min Liu, Zhonglin Chai, Chao Li, Yanan Wang, Mingwang Shen, Guihua Zhuang*, Lei Zhang*. Projected rapid growth in diabetes disease burden and economic burden in China: a spatio-temporal study from 2020 to 2030. Lancet Regional Health-Western Pacific. 2023, 33:100700.

15. Lei Zhang#, Hanting Liu#, Zhuoru Zou, Shu Su, Jason J Ong, Fanpu Ji, Fuqiang Cui, Po-lin Chan, Ning Qin, Rui Li, Mingwang Shen, Christopher K Fairley, Lan Liu, Wai-Kay Seto*, William CW Wong*. Shared-care models are highly effective and cost-effective for managing chronic hepatitis B in China: Reinterpreting the primary care and specialty divide. Lancet Regional Health-Western Pacific. 2023, 100737.

16. Shasha Gao, Mingwang Shen, Xueying Wang, Jin Wang, Maia Martcheva, Libin Rong*. A multi-strain model with asymptomatic transmission: Application to COVID-19 in the US. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 2023, 565:111468.

17. Rui Li, Mingwang Shen, Hanting Liu, Lu Bai, Lei Zhang*. Do infrared thermometers hold promise for an effective early warning system for emerging respiratory infectious diseases? JMIR Form Res.2023, 7:e42548.

18. Zengbin Li#, Guixian Zhu#, Xiangye Lei, Liqiong Tang, Guangyao Kong, Mingwang Shen, Lei Zhang*, Lingqin Song*. Genetic support of the causal association between gut microbiome and COVID-19: a bidirectional Mendelian randomization study. Frontiers in Immunology. 2023, 14:1217615.

19. Jing Wang, Patrick Kwan, Gong Zhang, Mingwang Shen, Loretta Piccenna, Terence J. O’ Brien, Lei Zhang*. A multidimensional assessment of activities of daily living, mental status, social and communication abilities in elderly in Shenzhen city, China: a cross-sectional study. JMIR Public Health and Surveillance. 2023, 9:e43612.

2022年

20. Mingwang Shen, Lei Zhang*. Feasibility of gonorrhoea vaccination among men who have sex with men in England. Lancet Infectious Diseases. 2022, 22:921-923.

21. Mingwang Shen, Xiang Sun, Yanni Xiao*, Yuanbao Liu, Congyue Wang, Zhiguo Wang, Libin Rong, Zhihang Peng*. The impact of supplementary immunization activities on measles transmission dynamics and implications for measles elimination goals: a mathematical modelling study. Journal of Theoretical Biology. 2022, 551-552:111242.

22. Xinye Jin#, Lingen Shi#, Congyue Wang, Tao Qiu, Yi Yin, Mingwang Shen*, Gengfeng Fu*, Zhihang Peng*. Cost-effectiveness of oral pre-exposure prophylaxis and expanded antiretroviral therapy for preventing HIV infections in the presence of drug resistance among men who have sex with men in China: A mathematical modelling study. Lancet Regional Health-Western Pacific. 2022, 23:100462.

23. Rui Li, Hanting Liu, Christopher K Fairley, Zhuoru Zou, Li Xie, Xinghui Li, Mingwang Shen*, Yan Li*, Lei Zhang*. Cost-effectiveness analysis of BNT162b2 COVID-19 booster vaccination in the United States. International Journal of Infectious Diseases. 2022, 119:87-94.

24. Junjie Liu, Jiangjie Lei, Yuhang Ou, Yilong Zhao, Xiaofeng Tuo, Baoming Zhang, Mingwang Shen*. Mammography diagnosis of breast cancer screening through machine learning: a systematic review and meta‑analysis. Clinical and Experimental Medicine. 2022, 23:2341-2356.

25. Rui Li, Yan Li, Zhuoru Zou, Yiming Liu, Xinghui Li, Guihua Zhuang*, Mingwang Shen*, Lei Zhang*. Evaluating the Impact of SARS-CoV-2 Variants on the COVID-19 Epidemic and Social Restoration in the United States: A Mathematical Modelling Study. Frontiers in Public Health. 2022, 9:801763.

26. Wenjun Liu, Tianyi Zhuang, Ruyi Xia, Zhuoru Zou, Lei Zhang, Mingwang Shen*, Guihua Zhuang*. Modelling the prevalence of hepatitis B towards eliminating it as a major public health threat in China. BMC Public Health. 2022, 22:1179.

27. Yuan Bai, Mingwang Shen*, Lei Zhang. Antiviral Efficacy of Molnupiravir for COVID-19 Treatment. Viruses. 2022, 14:763.

28. Zhuoru Zou, Christopher K Fairley, Mingwang Shen, Nick Scott, Xianglong Xu, Zengbin Li, Rui Li, Guihua Zhuang*, Lei Zhang*. Critical timing and extent of public health interventions to control outbreaks dominated by SARS-CoV-2 variants in Australia: a mathematical modelling study. International Journal of Infectious Diseases. 2022, 115:154-165.

29. Hao Lai#, Yusha Tao#, Mingwang Shen, Rui Li, Maosheng Zou, Leilei Zhang, Lei Zhang*. What is the impact of early and subsequent epidemic characteristics on the pre-Delta COVID-19 epidemic size in the United States. Pathogens. 2022, 11:576.

30. Yuan Bai#, Mingda Xu#, Caifen Liu, Mingwang Shen, Lin Wang, Linwei Tian, Suoyi Tan, Lei Zhang, Petter Holme, Xin Lu, Eric H. Y. Lau, Benjamin J. Cowling*, Zhanwei Du. Travel-related importation and exportation risks of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant in 367 prefectures (Cities)-China, 2022. China CDC Weekly. 2022, 4(40):885-889.

31. Yue Yin*, Ruilan Jiang, Mingwang Shen, Zhaofang Li, Ni Yan, Junqiao Feng, Hong Jiang, Jiaxin Lv, Lijuan Shi, Lina Wang, Xi Liu, Kaiyun Zhang, Di Chen. Prediction of occult tumor progression via platelet RNAs in a mouse melanoma model: a potential new platform for early detection of cancer. Journal of Translational Medicine. 2022, 20(71):1-15.

32. Guixian Zhu#, Zengbin Li#, Liqiong Tang, Mingwang Shen, Zhangjian Zhou, Yuhang Wei, Yang Zhao, Shuheng Bai, Lingqin Song*. Associations of dietary intakes with gynecological cancers: Findings from a cross-sectional study. Nutrients. 2022, 14:5026.

33. Miaolei Li, Jian Zu*, Yue Zhang, Le Ma, Mingwang Shen, Zongfang Li, Fanpu Ji*. COVID-19 epidemic in New York City: development of an age group-specific mathematical model to predict the outcome of various vaccination strategies. Virology Journal. 2022, 19:43.

34. Li Ping Wong*, Qunhong Wu, Yanhua Hao, Xi Chen, Zhuo Chen, Haridah Alias, Mingwang Shen, Jingcen Hu, Shiwei Duan, Jinjie Zhang, Liyuan Han*. The role of institutional trust in preventive practices and treatment-seeking intention during the coronavirus disease 2019 outbreak among residents in Hubei, China. International Health. 2022, 14(2):161-169.

35. Xianglong Xu, Eric P F Chow, Jason J Ong, Mingwang Shen, Chongjian Wang, Jane S Hocking, Christopher K Fairley, Lei Zhang*. Modelling the potential role of saliva use during masturbation in the transmission of Neisseria gonorrhoeae at multiple anatomical sites. Sexual Health. 2022,18(6):466-474.

2021年

36. Mingwang Shen#, Jian Zu#, Christopher K. Fairley, José A. Pagán, Bart Ferket, Bian Liu, Stella S. Yi, Earle Chambers, Guoqiang Li, Yuming Guo, Libin Rong, Yanni Xiao, Guihua Zhuang, Alexis Zebrowski, Brendan G. Carr, Yan Li*, Lei Zhang*. Effects of New York’s executive order on face mask use on COVID-19 infections and mortality: A modeling study. Journal of Urban Health. 2021, 98(2):197-204.

37. Mingwang Shen, Jian Zu, Christopher K. Fairley, José A. Pagán, Li An, Zhanwei Du, Yuming Guo, Libin Rong, Yanni Xiao, Guihua Zhuang, Yan Li*, Lei Zhang*. Projected COVID-19 epidemic in the United States in the context of the effectiveness of a potential vaccine and implications for social distancing and face mask use. Vaccine. 2021, 39(16):2295-2302.

38. Mingwang Shen, Yanni Xiao, Guihua Zhuang, Yan Li*, Lei Zhang*. Mass testing - an underexplored strategy for COVID-19 control. The Innovation. 2021, 2(2):100114.

39. Rui Li, Qian Li, Yiming Liu, Mingwang Shen*, Lei Zhang*, Guihua Zhuang*. Modeling the impact of Universal Influenza Vaccines on seasonal influenza with different subtypes. Epidemiology and Infection. 2021, 149(e253):1-9.

40. Jian Zu#, Mingwang Shen#, Christopher K Fairley, Miaolei Li, Guoqiang Li, Libin Rong, Yanni Xiao, Guihua Zhuang, Lei Zhang*, Yan Li*. Investigating the relationship between reopening the economy and implementing control measures during the COVID-19 pandemic. Public Health. 2021, 200:15-21.

41. Wenjun Wang#, Mingwang Shen#, Yusha Tao, Christopher K Fairley, Jason J Ong, Hui Chen, Qin Zhong, Zongren Li, Kai Zhang, Dawei Zhang, Feifei Yang, Sibing Zhang, Lei Zhang*, Kunlun He*. Elevated glucose level leads to rapid COVID-19 progression and high fatality. BMC Pulmonary Medicine. 2021, 21:64.

42. Ting Guo, Zhipeng Qiu, Mingwang Shen, Libin Rong*. Dynamics of a new HIV model with the activation status of infected cells. Journal of Mathematical Biology. 2021, 82:51.

43. Shi Zhao*, Mingwang Shen, Salihu S. Musa, Zihao Guo, Jinjun Ran*, Zhihang Peng, Yu Zhao, Marc K. C. Chong, Daihai He*, Maggie H. Wang. Inferencing superspreading potential using zero-truncated negative binomial model: exemplification with COVID-19. BMC Medical Research Methodology. 2021, 21:30.

44. Miaolei Li, Jian Zu*, Mingwang Shen, Guihua Zhuang, Siyuan Chen, Fuzhen Wang, Hui Zheng, Guomin Zhang*. Evaluating the independent influence of sexual transmission on HBV infection in China: a modeling study. BMC Public Health. 2021, 21:388.

45. Miaolei Li, Jian Zu*, Zongfang Li, Mingwang Shen, Yan Li, Fanpu Ji*. How to reduce the transmission risk of COVID-19 more effectively in New York City: An age-structured model study. Frontiers in Medicine. 2021, 8:641205.

46. Ruyi Xia, Hongmei Zeng, Wenjun Liu, Li Xie, Mingwang Shen, Peng Li, He Li, Wenqiang Wei, Wanqing Chen*, Guihua Zhuang*. Estimated cost-effectiveness of endoscopic screening for upper gastrointestinal tract cancer in high-risk areas in China. JAMA Network Open. 2021, 4(8):e2121403.

47. Lu Bai#, Haonan Lu#, Hailin Hu, M. Kumi Smith, Katherine Harripersaud, Veronika Lipkova, Yujin Wen, Xiuyan Guo, Wei Peng, Chenwei Liu, Mingwang Shen, Alfred Chixiong Shen, Lei Zhang*. Evaluation of work resumption strategies after COVID-19 reopening in the Chinese city of Shenzhen: a mathematical modeling study. Public Health. 2021, 193:17-22.

48. Zhongxing Ding#, Kai Wang#, Mingwang Shen, Kai Wang, Shi Zhao, Wenyu Song, Rui Li, Zhongjie Li, Liping Wang, Ganzhu Feng, Zhiliang Hu, Hongxia Wei, Yanni Xiao, Changjun Bao, Jianli Hu, Liguo Zhu, Yong Li, Xufeng Chen, Yi Yin, Weiming Wang, Yongli Cai, Zhihang Peng*, Hongbing Shen*. Estimating the time interval between transmission generations and the presymptomatic period by contact tracing surveillance data from 31 provinces in the mainland of China. Fundamental Research. 2021, 1:104-110.

49. Xianglong Xu, Eric P F Chow, Mingwang Shen, Zhuoru Zou, Chongjian Wang, Jason J Ong, Christopher K Fairley, Lei Zhang*. Potential effect of antiseptic mouthwash on the incidence of Neisseria gonorrhoeae among men who have sex with men: a mathematical modelling study. BMJ Open. 2021,11:e052823.

50. Xianglong Xu, Eric P F Chow, Jason J Ong, Christian J P A Hoebe, Deborah Williamson, Mingwang Shen, Fabian Yuh Shiong Kong, Jane S Hocking, Christopher K Fairley, Lei Zhang*. Modelling the contribution that different sexual practices involving the oropharynx and saliva have on Neisseria gonorrhoeae infections at multiple anatomical sites in men who have sex with men. Sexually Transmitted Infections. 2021,97:183-189.

2020

51. Mingwang Shen#, Zhihang Peng#, Yanni Xiao*, Lei Zhang*. Modelling the epidemic trend of the 2019 novel coronavirus outbreak in China. The Innovation. 2020, 1(3):100048.

52. Mingwang Shen#, Zhihang Peng#, Yuming Guo, Libin Rong, Yan Li, Yanni Xiao*, Guihua Zhuang*, Lei Zhang*. Assessing the effects of metropolitan-wide quarantine on the spread of COVID-19 in public space and households. International Journal of Infectious Diseases. 2020, 96:503-505.

53. Mingwang Shen, Ruyi Xia, Zheng Luo, Hongmei Zeng, Wenqiang Wei, Guihua Zhuang*, Lei Zhang*, Wanqing Chen*. The long-term population impact of endoscopic screening programmes on disease burdens of gastric cancer in China: a mathematical modelling study.  Journal of Theoretical Biology. 2020, 484:109996.

54. Ruina Liu#, Yuexi Gu#, Mingwang Shen#, Huan Li, Kai Zhang, Qi Wang, Xin Wei, Haohui Zhang, Di Wu, Kai Yu, Wumin Cai, Gongji Wang, Siruo Zhang, Qinru Sun*, Ping Huang* Zhenyuan Wang*. Predicting postmortem interval based on microbial community sequences and machine learning algorithms. Environmental Microbiology. 2020, 22(6):2273-2291.

55. Siyu Liu, Mingwang Shen, Yingjie Bi*. Global asymptotic behavior for mixed vaccination strategy in a delayed epidemic model with interim-immune. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering. 2020, 7(4):3601-3617.

56. Lei Zhang*, Mingwang Shen, Xiaomeng Ma, Shu Su, Jing Wang, Yusha Tao, Zhuoru Zou, Rui Zhao, Joseph Lau, Wenfeng Gong, Wei Li, Feng Liu, Kai Ye, Youfa Wang, Guihua Zhuang*, Christopher Fairley. What is required to prevent a second major outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 upon lifting quarantine in Wuhan City, China. The Innovation. 2020, 1(1):100006.

57. Lei Zhang*, Yusha Tao, Mingwang Shen, Christopher Fairley, Yuming Guo*. Can self-imposed prevention measures mitigate the COVID-19 epidemic? PLOS Medicine. 2020, 17(7):e1003240.

58. Lei Zhang*, Yusha Tao, Jing Wang, Jason J Ong, Weiming Tang, Maosheng Zou, Lu Bai, Miao Ding, Mingwang Shen, Guihua Zhuang*, Christopher Fairley. Early characteristics of the COVID-19 outbreak predict the subsequent epidemic scope. International Journal of Infectious Diseases. 2020, 97:219-224.

59. Jian Zu*, Miaolei Li, Zongfang Li, Mingwang Shen, Yanni Xiao, Fanpu Ji*. Transmission patterns of COVID-19 in the mainland of China and the efficacy of different control strategies: a data- and model-driven study. Infectious Diseases of Poverty. 2020, 9:83.

60. Xiaodan Sun#, Wenmin Yang#, Sanyi Tang, Mingwang Shen, Tianyang Wang, Qiuying Zhu, Zhiyong Shen, Shuai Tang, Huanhuan Chen, Yuhua Ruan*, Yanni Xiao*. Declining trend in HIV new infections in Guangxi, China: insights from linking reported HIV/AIDS cases with CD4-at-diagnosis data. BMC Public Health. 2020, 20:919.

61. Shu Su, Christopher K Fairley, Limin Mao, Nicholas Medland, Mingwang Shen, Yan Li, Guihua Zhuang, Lei Zhang*. Estimation of the impact of changing drug-use trend on HIV, hepatitis C and syphilis epidemics among people who use synthetic drug-only, polydrug and heroin-only during 2005-2035 in China: modelling study. Sexually Transmitted Infections. 2020, 96:608-614.
62. Jinli Liu, Zhen-Hu Ren, Hua Qiang, Jine Wu, Mingwang Shen, Lei Zhang*, Jun Lyu*. Trends in the incidence of diabetes mellitus: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 and implications for diabetes mellitus prevention. BMC Public Health. 2020, 20:1415.

2019年以前

63. Ruyi Xia, Shuliu Sun, Mingwang Shen, Lei Zhang, Guihua Zhuang*. Targeted hepatitis E vaccination for women of childbearing age is cost-effective in China. Vaccine. 2019, 37(39): 5868-5876.

64. Mingwang Shen, Yanni Xiao*, Libin Rong, Guihua Zhuang. Global dynamics and cost-effectiveness analysis of HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis and structured treatment interruptions based on a multi-scale model. Applied Mathematical Modelling. 2019, 75:162-200.

65. Xia Wang, Mingwang Shen, Yanni Xiao, Libin Rong*. Optimal control and cost-effectiveness analysis of a Zika virus infection model with comprehensive interventions.  Applied Mathematics and Computation. 2019, 359:165-185.

66. Mingwang Shen, Yanni Xiao*, Libin Rong, Lauren Ancel Meyers. Conflict and accord of optimal treatment strategies for HIV infection within and between hosts. Mathematical Biosciences. 2019, 309:107-117.

67. Mingwang Shen, Yanni Xiao*, Libin Rong, Lauren Ancel Meyers, Steven E. Bellan. The cost-effectiveness of oral HIV pre-exposure prophylaxis and early antiretroviral treatment in the presence of drug resistance among men who have sex with men in San Francisco. BMC Medicine. 2018, 16:58.

68. Mingwang Shen, Yanni Xiao*, Libin Rong, Lauren Ancel Meyers, Steven E. Bellan. Early antiretroviral therapy and potent second-line drugs could decrease HIV incidence of drug resistance. Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 2017, 284(1857): 20170525.

69. Mingwang Shen, Yanni Xiao*. Global stability of a multi-group SVEIR epidemiological model with the vaccination age and infection age. Acta Applicandae Mathematicae. 2016, 144(1):137-157.

70. Mingwang Shen, Yanni Xiao*, Libin Rong. Modeling the effect of comprehensive interventions on Ebola virus transmission. Scientific Reports. 2015, 5:15818.

71. Mingwang Shen, Yanni Xiao*, Libin Rong. Global stability of an infection-age structured HIV-1 model linking within-host and between-host dynamics. Mathematical Biosciences. 2015, 263:37-50.

72. Mingwang Shen, Yanni Xiao*, Weike Zhou, Zhen Li. Global dynamics and applications of an epidemiological model for hepatitis C virus transmission in China. Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society. 2015, Article ID 543029, 13 pages.

73. RA Cheke*, M-G Basáñez, M Perry, MT White, R Garms, E Obuobie, PHL Lamberton, S Young, MY Osei-Atweneboana, J Intsiful, Mingwang Shen, DA Boakye, MD Wilson. Potential effects of warmer worms and vectors on onchocerciasis transmission in West Africa. Philosophical Transactions of The Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. 2015, 370: 20130559.





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